Improvements in the American economic outlook this month can be attributed to a reduction in interest rates. The latest consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan, unveiled on Friday, indicated a rise in economic optimism for the third month in a row, reaching its peak since April. Additionally, long-term inflation expectations have slightly decreased. Joanne Hsu, the director of the Surveys of Consumers at the University of Michigan, stated, "The increase in sentiment this month is largely due to slight enhancements in purchasing conditions for durable goods, partly as a result of reduced interest rates." The Federal Reserve's decision to lower interest rates by a significant half percentage point last month marked the first such reduction in over four years, a move partly prompted by the stabilization of inflation. Lower borrowing costs make it more affordable for consumers to acquire durable goods such as home appliances, vehicles, and furniture, which are typically financed through credit.
However, it's important to note that consumer sentiment does not always accurately forecast actual consumer behavior. The government's most recent retail spending report, released last week, revealed a decline in durable goods sales in September. Furthermore, a separate report issued on Friday showed a 0.8% drop in new durable goods orders placed with U.S. manufacturers in September, following a similar decrease in the previous month. Despite these figures, the Federal Reserve has indicated its intention to persist with rate reductions if the economic conditions continue as anticipated, which could provide reassurance to American consumers. Robert Frick, a corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, commented, "Although lending rates have not yet started to decrease, consumers are aware that this is likely to happen with the Fed's rate cuts. Coupled with already strengthening spending, lower rates and rising consumer sentiment could serve as the foundation for an economic rebound."
The University of Michigan's report also highlighted a significant surge in sentiment among Republicans later in the month, fueled by increasing speculation about former President Donald Trump's potential victory in the forthcoming presidential election. Conversely, sentiment among Democrats experienced a slight downturn.
Economic sentiment among Americans has shown a positive trend this month, largely due to the decrease in interest rates. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey, released on Friday, demonstrated a continuous rise in economic optimism for three consecutive months, hitting its highest point since April. The survey also revealed that long-term inflation expectations have marginally declined. Joanne Hsu, the director of the Surveys of Consumers at the University of Michigan, explained, "The rise in sentiment this month can be primarily attributed to modest improvements in the buying conditions for durable goods, which were partly due to the easing of interest rates." The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by a significant half percentage point last month was the first such reduction in over four years, a move that was partly due to the control of inflation. Lower borrowing costs have made it more cost-effective for American consumers to purchase durable goods such as home appliances, vehicles, and furniture, which are often financed through credit.
However, it's crucial to recognize that consumer sentiment is not always a reliable indicator of actual consumer behavior. The government's most recent retail spending report, which was released last week, showed a decline in durable goods sales in September. Additionally, a separate report issued on Friday indicated a 0.8% decrease in new durable goods orders placed with U.S. manufacturers in September, following a similar decrease in the previous month. Despite these figures, the Federal Reserve has signaled its intention to continue lowering rates if the economic conditions evolve as expected, which could provide comfort to American consumers. Robert Frick, a corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, stated, "Although lending rates have not yet started to decrease, consumers are aware that this is likely to occur with the Fed's rate cuts. Combined with already strengthening spending, lower rates and increasing consumer sentiment could form the backbone of an economic surge."
The University of Michigan's report also pointed out a significant increase in sentiment among Republicans later in the month, driven by rising bets on former President Donald Trump winning the upcoming presidential election. In contrast, sentiment among Democrats has slightly deteriorated.
The economic sentiment of Americans has shown a positive trajectory this month, largely due to the reduction in interest rates. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey, released on Friday, showed a consistent rise in economic optimism for three consecutive months, reaching its highest level since April. The survey also indicated that long-term inflation expectations have slightly decreased. Joanne Hsu, the director of the Surveys of Consumers at the University of Michigan, said, "The rise in sentiment this month can be primarily attributed to modest improvements in the buying conditions for durable goods, which were partly due to the easing of interest rates." The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates by a significant half percentage point last month was the first such reduction in over four years, a move that was partly due to the control of inflation. Lower borrowing costs have made it more cost-effective for American consumers to purchase durable goods such as home appliances, vehicles, and furniture, which are often financed through credit.
However, it's important to note that consumer sentiment does not always accurately predict actual consumer behavior. The government's most recent retail spending report, which was released last week, revealed a decline in durable goods sales in September. Furthermore, a separate report issued on Friday indicated a 0.8% decrease in new durable goods orders placed with U.S. manufacturers in September, following a similar decrease in the previous month. Despite these figures, the Federal Reserve has indicated its intention to persist with rate reductions if the economic conditions continue as anticipated, which could provide reassurance to American consumers. Robert Frick, a corporate economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, commented, "Although lending rates have not yet started to decrease, consumers are aware that this is likely to happen with the Fed's rate cuts. Coupled with already strengthening spending, lower rates and rising consumer sentiment could serve as the foundation for an economic rebound."
By Emily Johnson/Oct 28, 2024
By Noah Bell/Oct 28, 2024
By Michael Brown/Oct 28, 2024
By David Anderson/Oct 28, 2024
By Samuel Cooper/Oct 28, 2024
By Eric Ward/Oct 24, 2024
By Rebecca Stewart/Oct 23, 2024
By Benjamin Evans/Oct 23, 2024
By Emma Thompson/Oct 23, 2024
By Benjamin Evans/Oct 23, 2024
By Emma Thompson/Oct 23, 2024
By James Moore/Oct 23, 2024
By Natalie Campbell/Oct 23, 2024
By William Miller/Oct 23, 2024
By Emma Thompson/Oct 23, 2024
By Amanda Phillips/Oct 23, 2024
By Laura Wilson/Oct 21, 2024
By George Bailey/Oct 21, 2024
By Sophia Lewis/Oct 21, 2024
By William Miller/Oct 21, 2024